Universal tips for sports betting TOP 10
Absolutely every field of activity has its own universal laws, rules, compliance with which allows you to get away from most of the stupid mistakes that most newcomers make and succeed. Of course, there are no limits to perfection. After becoming a professional, everyone should develop further, already polishing hundreds of small details in their actions. But a set of typical mistakes can first be overcome by a set of universal rules. In the topic of sports betting, all these patterns are preserved. Moreover, there are techniques that work in betting in all sports. In this article, we have prepared a selection of the TOP 10, in our opinion, the most important recommendations and rules for novice betters in betting. Assimilation and compliance with these points will allow you to avoid many traps at first, go to the next level, and increase your skill in small things. The topics covered in this article cover the entire range of important blocks in betting. There are also issues of planning, financial management, routine work with forecasts, psychology, interaction with bookmakers and other aspects. So in this short selection you will find a lot of useful things to start a successful career as a sports better.
This article on the key points that you need to understand to succeed in sports betting, I want to start with a global, so to speak, with the largest basic approval. In betting, many people are attracted not only to the sport itself, but also to the desire to analyze it and profit from it. People go to this topic because they got the impression, from the advertising surrounding this area of the information cloud, that it is possible to "quickly raise big and easy money". It is clear that we "homosapiens" are suggestible beings, but still we must somehow keep ourselves in hand.
The vast majority of the population does not represent much of themselves, even in their professional fields. There are a lot of mediocre managers, sellers, builders, marketers, IT specialists, doctors (which is especially unfortunate). And on this field, you can walk in circles for a long time, realizing that you are dealing with fire in almost all areas. Meanwhile, the immutable truth is that the best specialists in their niches always earn a lot. In addition, they, thanks to their high professionalism, work is relatively easy.
This is all to the fact that when people come to sports betting for some reason they think that in this niche you can get the same: fast, easy and big money. While still not becoming a professional. Just some bets from Baldy placed, or spied some blogger-capper on the Internet, who promised mountains of gold, and are waiting for big winnings. Meanwhile, sports betting is the same topic in its essence as any other in our world. In many aspects, it is even more complex than many because of its variability and instability of results. It is clear that with such a frivolous approach, more than 90% do not succeed. High, clearly inflated expectations generate deep frustrations, with accompanying financial losses and stress.
To prevent this from happening, you should look at things soberly. There is money in betting, even relatively large, relatively easy and can be quite fast. But all these awards are for professionals who, please note, were not born as brilliant forecasters, but became good betters. And even for them, there is no such thing as stability in betting. For Amateurs, who try to take this rock from a jump, only a fall down is waiting for them. So forget about betting as a field of easy earnings, playfully. This is a serious professional field, in which you need to deal with a lot of things before you want to make a significant income. Set aside your high expectations, and a lot of hard work in the field of self-development in your betting. If the myth of easy money disappears and you are not interested, so much the better. Do not waste time in vain, go to other areas where your true interest lies. Like any business, bids are not for everyone. You need a certain combination of character traits, intelligence, and just burn it. If there is no light, there is only an idea to quickly "raise money", then you will most likely spend it.
Lack of goals and an adequate plan
Once involved in the cycle of sports events and betting on it, most betters do not see the whole picture. Some focus only on forecasting, while others focus on finding "magic" win-win strategies. In fact, these are only two important blocks in the betting mechanism, but they are not the only ones. To earn more or less steadily in this area, which is subject to serious fluctuations in results, you need to see all aspects and properly pump yourself in each of them. As those who are not new to the project and have read a number of our fundamental publications on betting theory know, goal setting and planning are at the top of the hierarchy of this system. Yes, this is something that is especially lacking for ordinary people, average betters.
The actions of most people who are interested in betting are completely haphazard. Bets are placed on completely different, random amounts, based on what the day brought today. They just put a certain amount of free money on their account at the bookmaker's office, and they play randomly until they lose everything to zero. And even perhaps they will have several Bank rises during this time, but the result is always the same. This picture is a clear evidence of the lack of understanding of the importance of planning and goal setting in bids.
To achieve something in life, in the profession, in business, in any other endeavors, you need planning. This is clear to everyone who has succeeded in something. Already looking back on the path we have traveled, this seems self-evident. But again, for the broad masses of our people, this is not the case. As in life they have a constant mess, storm, lack of goals, and then results, so this vicious practice moves to the sphere of betting. So you need to stop being an overgrown infantile child, and start planning. Perhaps from the awareness of the importance of this business in betting, you will transfer this experience to other areas of life.
The planning block in betting operates with three main parameters: goal, starting Bank, and distance. All of them are interconnected and should be adequately related to each other. We had a separate article dedicated to the topic of goal setting. We will not repeat it here, but we will only point out that the elements must be balanced. You can't imagine a millionth increase in the Bank when you start with a mint of a thousand, and you are also going to pass this gap in a few days or weeks. There are no such" x's". Maybe once, for luck, and then years of plums. This is definitely not necessary for anyone. So the goal should be real, correlate with the starting Bank, differing by percentages, at times, but certainly not exceed it by an order of magnitude. The same applies to the length of the game period, which you limit yourself to. It should be weeks, a month, several months. Such distances can be considered average, where you can show something, understand, and be able not to drive the pace thoughtlessly. Based on the results of the completed segment, a debriefing takes place. What was successful, what was not, why, what mistakes were made. Then work is done on these same mistakes to prevent them from happening in the future. If necessary, adjustments are made to the plan, and a new game stage begins. And so, according to these check points, artificially assigned points of reconciliation of plans and results, the betterer must move along the distance. This is a very correct approach, which, alas, strongly contrasts with the flow of movement that most betters demonstrate, without goals and plans.
Betting on every sport and game
Very often, when people come to betting, they start rushing in all directions, trying to make money on everything. This also applies to different sports and tournaments within the framework of each of them. Today they play football, tomorrow they play hockey, then they play tennis, and now eSports has arrived. In this situation, failure is guaranteed. Despite the fact that the block of analysis and forecasting, to which we have dedicated a separate set of key rules, is not number one, it is still very important. When trying to spread out, play on everything, a person can not physically watch enough matches, reviews, cover information sites about sports, blogs of specialized journalists, social networks of athletes and teams. As a result, such a mountain-betterer will be missed at the top, nowhere really going deeper. In other words, it will not have a full-fledged analysis and high-quality forecasts at its disposal on a permanent basis. As a result, of course, there are many disadvantages and drawdown of the game Bank.
The fault here is the dispersion, the lack of focus. The right approach, one of the key rules at the beginning of the betterer's path States: decide on one of your sports. Yes, first you need to choose only one sport discipline. But this is not enough. If you bet on all the matches in a row in football, but there are hundreds of leagues, Championships, or in tennis, where there is also a lot of everything, you will also not be able to be competent in anything. You need to narrow your focus, select multiple tournaments, or even just one. Perhaps later, as you gain experience and reasonable confidence in your competence, you can expand the list of assets to several Championships, but also without fanaticism.You can only focus on football, because there are always traditionally many options for betting and using various strategies, including forks.
So the right approach is to dig into a narrow niche rather than trying to cover everything. In other things, everything is like everywhere else: in business, science, art – profile specialists are at stake, and generalists are steadily drifting to the status of Amateurs in everything.
Betting on high-profile sporting events
People often come to betting on the background of interest in the sport itself, watching it, rooting for some teams or athletes. Making a bet on a certain amount, on your favorite team, just on a beautiful effective or fighting, tight match-this is an additional stimulus of interest. That is why, even as you go deeper into the field of betting, people continue to bet, and only increase the frequency and amount, on TOP games, matches with loud signs. Such a craving to risk your money "on the great" can be explained by some psychological factors,but there is no logic in such actions.
It is clear that a lot of betters are in an uncertain, semi-position. They just don't realize it: they are now sports fans or bettors, claiming some kind of professionalism, and then the result. There are a lot of problems with this mix of roles. An interesting match to watch is a priori a duel with serious intrigue. This means that there is a large amount of uncertainty and risks of unexpected results. This possibility exists in any sports match, but still the degree of this very risk is always different. A professional differs from an Amateur in that he does not get involved in games with great intrigue. On the contrary, he will place his main bets on an inconspicuous mid-level match, or even on a game from some lower League. For him, the key goal is to win, make a profit, as befits, and not to warm up interest in watching the game and the desire to "raise millions"along the way. It is impossible to combine these two approaches.
You can notice that all sorts of "experts", bloggers from the topic of betting, constantly post forecasts for sports on their sites. First of all, there are various highly rated events, those TOP matches with loud signs. The results of such characters are negative even at medium distances, and in the long run – this is an even more global minus. But such content is well received by the public, is in demand, and bookmakers encourage coverage of such events, where you can make the maximum cash. Meanwhile, the few really smart forecasters that are published on the Internet can not boast such audiences and views. After all, they play on much less rated events, but the result is quite different. So you have to make a choice between "HYIP" and really. That is why there are very few normal cappers, and it is very difficult to find them. Someone understands that putting forecasts on popular events is good in media terms, but it is a dead end in professional terms, and leaves the public sphere. Someone prefers the media to their advantage, and falls into the generation of what he wants the most, that is indulge the basest tastes of the audience. So here we can trace the rosary watershed, and everyone should decide for themselves: he checkers or go. If it is more important to feel involved in something big, losing money on great sports matches is one thing, if it is more important to earn money from betting – quite another. You can't combine them in any way. Only if you differentiate, the main bets with serious amounts are made on one game, and the TOP events are just watched, putting a maximum of "a hundred", purely for the sake of interest.
Bets on favorites of a match
The basic logic of most newcomers to betting, which can also be traced in many players with experience, encourages you to bet on clear favorites. This is the moment, the real hook, on which bookmakers catch unlucky betters in droves. The fact is that inexperienced players do not have a clear understanding of the role of distance. They either think one day, one bet, a maximum of a series of several iterations, or they are hanging their ears on the subject of some mythical "long distance" that should fix everything. Also, beginners have a bad understanding of what the coefficient from the betting line is. From the superimposition of two critical gaps in the basic theory, and there is a huge number of failures, large drawdowns, and then drains of banks.
You need to learn that the profit or loss in bets is not determined by a single bet and not by a certain infinity. This is always some kind of middle distance, a segment that touches a very real, measurable and foreseeable past, present and future. You need to put yourself a mark on this timeline, a kind of check-points, which were mentioned earlier, when you mention planning. They are needed to start from these points and evaluate the result of the passed segments.
Meanwhile, the betting coefficient is not a direct reflection of the real probability, as we are convinced by bookmakers. This is just a subjective estimate that can be converted into a percentage and compared with the probability estimate, but this is how it is, and not the other way around. Moreover, this indicator is subject to artificial influences, and can significantly distort the actual disposition before the match. Often, the quote depends more on the public opinion of the majority of players in the market, rather than on objective factors that determine the sports result. And these distortions are most clearly felt in the case of popular matches, where there is a clear favorite.
The bookmaker understands in advance what sportsman or team the mainstream, the majority of the people, will bet on. If the odds are objectively equal or even not in favor of the favorite, it is not profitable for the office to set equal or too close odds. This will confuse the crowd of ordinary people and they will not bet on this match as much as the office would like. Instead, the bookmaker panders to the opinion of the crowd, and at the same time manipulates it: it gives a noticeably lower coefficient on one of the sides, thereby highlighting the "favorite". It's like a sign over a buried mine: "advance here." Then comes into effect the so-called "Progres". The crowd disproportionately puts more on the favorite, further reducing the quotes on this shoulder.
In the end, it doesn't matter whether the favorite wins or loses this particular time. The bottom line is that at that very distance, even the average, not to mention the longer, because of the low odds on the entire side of the favorite, these bets are unprofitable. In other words, there will be fewer advantages than based on the estimate included in the coefficient. For example, the indicator says that you should win 70 bets out of 100, but in fact it turns out only 60 pluses. As a result, it is a hard minus.
So stop fooling around. If you see a match involving a clear favorite, and there are no obvious arguments to put it on the underdog's shoulder, then avoid such a match. Whatever you play on the side of the favorite will only lead to a quick loss of the pot, even in the relatively short term. Play at least on adequately rated teams, and it is better where there is a preponderance of probability on your side.
No sure -- no bet!
Another very negative phenomenon in betting is the constant race and involvement in the process. As a result, the players lose control, and the very fact of making a bet becomes an end in itself. A new day begins with an obsession and a question: what should I bet on today? This is followed by an analysis of the upcoming sporting events. It is good if the choice is large, and there are really decent options for confident bids. There is often a reverse situation, when there are few games, but there are no clearly visible outcomes. But the idea to bet at all costs does not let the player go. This is a manifestation of the disease, ludomania. The brain requires regular doses of the neurotransmitter dopamine, which is released when a person is waiting, anticipating a big result, a win. This situation should be very familiar to fishermen when there is a chance to catch a large fish. The excitement is off the scale. Only on fishing time is spent, and in such senseless betting, without worthy matches on the horizon, both time and money. Well, everything happens not in nature, fresh air, among the beauties, but hunched over the computer, or staring at a smartphone. In General, fishermen even have a certain advantage.
All this leads to the fact that you need to control yourself and learn one powerful life hack: the sky will not fall to the ground if you do not put a bet today. And tomorrow the same. In the case of many, not yet very competent betters, this is only good, because this way their money will only be safer. You need to bet when you are sure, when the bid has a serious argument. And Vice versa, if there are no clear options, there are doubts, throwing, then you need to find the strength to close the line and go to do something else. If you can subdue your "popan essence", train yourself to such a framework, self-control, then you will make a big step towards professional development as a player, and to the result.
Unreasonable increase of the coefficients
Often you have to deal with a situation in sports betting when you want to bet on a particular outcome, but the quote that the bookmaker offers for this event is too low. Meanwhile, any more or less competent betterer understands that each financial strategy has its own limitations, in particular: the lower limit on the coefficient. In other words, it is not practical to use indicators below a certain level. Somewhere this limit may be at the level of 1.20-1.30, somewhere 1.50-1.60, and for other strategies below 1.90-2.00 is unacceptable. Most often, problems are observed with quotes around 1.40-1.60. the lower part of this range does not reach the desired 1.50-1.60, and the upper part, up to 1.80-1.90. And what should I do? What does the majority do in such cases? Everything is very simple, they are walking on a slippery path of artificial increase of coefficients.
Let's emphasize that in order to avoid discrepancies, the practice of raising the betting odds is normal, and there is no place without it. However, many beginners and not too well-thought-out players, even with experience, make mistakes, increasing the coefficients by too dangerous, adventurous methods. As a result, a loss on the bet is formed from a generally correct forecast, which is twice more offensive than giving a minus due to a General error in the analysis.
An increase in the coefficient always leads to an increase in risks. Somewhere this growth is justified, and somewhere it is not. In some cases, this may only increase the risk of not winning, while maintaining the same conditions for defeat. For example, this is an increase in the handicap or total by 0.5, from (-0.5) to (-1), from TB(2.5) to TB(3), from TM(2.5) to TM(2), from ITB(1.5) to ITB(2), and so on. That is, instead of a two-way bet, they make a bet with the possibility of a refund. Often, to increase the coefficient, people go too far with increasing the values of the same handicaps or totals, begin to impose additional conditions, apply combined bids, and collect Express trains of different dimensions. All this can be done, but you need to be aware of the risks and have a sense of proportion. We just urge you not to increase your odds thoughtlessly. If you resort to this technique, then first evaluate the entire range of options, and only then choose the most logical and least risky of all. The very fact of focusing your thoughts on this point will already give you a lot, since most of the people at this stage of betting pass without any thought at all.
If you want to find the most attractive coefficient, you can recommend using a strategy based on over-valued coefficients.
Large combo bet
A typical situation for more than 90% of participants in the betting game is when there is no money, but you want to win a lot, and preferably right now. In other words, the requests are, as always, exorbitant. From the category: that we had everything, and we had nothing for it. And of course, after thinking about it, the only option to convert the available several hundred into a round sum is to build an Express or Express trains with a large final coefficient. It is clear that such a construction usually involves dozens of outcomes, but if less, then the conditions themselves are very ambiguous, with their own large quotes. We predict the result of this game. Even if somewhere among such attempts 1-2 serious winnings are hidden, then the "before" and "after" attempts merge many times more funds. If you do not win for a long time, the player goes into the negative side, and a big win does not significantly improve the financial situation, even if it temporarily leads to the final plus. Well, after such a victory, the betterer grows a "huge crown", "wings", and the curtains fall. In General, the amount for subsequent Express trains increases and everything merges very quickly.
The problem here is also a lack of understanding of the theory and mathematical basis of bets and Express trains, in particular. Each bid or coefficient, as we mentioned earlier, is just an abstract numeric expression. It can be converted to a percentage by dividing 100% by a decimal coefficient. And this number can already be correlated with the probability estimate of the event. This indicator may be objective, overstated or understated, to one degree or another. It is also important to remember the margin, a kind of probabilistic Commission, laid down by the bookmaker in each quote. So it turns out that in the remote plan, most bets are either simply mathematically unprofitable, unprofitable, or very unprofitable. When an Express is made, not only abstract numbers are multiplied, but probabilities are multiplied as well. The margin is lurking in every included component is also accumulated. We also omit the option when the Express takes the same bets on the favorites ' wins, or other clearly loaded outcomes, where the underweight is probably felt even stronger. As a result, it is easy to calculate the probability of winning on the Express. Comparing two Express trains with the same coefficients, but different numbers of components, we will definitely see that the more of them, the lower the chances. So the idea of Express trains with too many combined outcomes is very bad, leading only to losses, if only a little, but surely.
We do not discourage Express trains as such. On the double or triple format, the effect of increasing the final margin is minimal, and such bets can be more profitable than many ordinary ones. But with the further growth in the number of outcomes, it is worth considering the feasibility.
In sports betting, a strict mathematical basis and people's emotions are tightly intertwined. And of course this second, irrational, destructive aspect, brings a lot of people down. You need to accept and learn that any significant and long-term success in sports betting can only be achieved by those who have taken their "inner monkey"into custody. She, your animal nature, will seek to rest on her laurels after winning, relaxing you, and luring you into a trap. She, when losing, will be angry, want revenge, take away the lost resources from the bookmaker as soon as possible, that is, pull to win back. All this is the beginning of paths to hell and financial ruin. So know this, and don't let the animal essence take over. On this path of training the "monkey" is very helpful planning, which was discussed above. Well, you will also have to work with the emotional background, keep control all the time. If you are in a bad mood, even if it is caused by betting or some other life situation – then don't bet, do something else, and let it go. If you find yourself feeling euphoric from winning, carefully go down to the ground, fix the profit, and continue to play according to the plan.
Questions of psychology and emotions in betting are very important, and we have given them several separate articles on the project. So we will not repeat ourselves here and go into the nuances. Just note for yourself the presence of this aspect, the problems it promises, read those materials, and control this direction with special care.
Interaction with a bookmaker
inally, we will point out the complex of problems that often arise for novice players in interaction with bookmakers on illiteracy. The bookmaker is always one of the sides of the game, where we get money to multiply them, and from there we want to withdraw it when we win.
And although there are bookmakers who are loyal to using betting arbitrage, listen to the following tips - so that everything goes smoothly, there are no technical complications, and you can focus on the betting itself,
First, you need to register in your own name. This is necessary, because the rules of any BC (even though no one reads them) indicate in black and white that the office has the right to request verification of personal data. This means that if you are a schoolboy and you win a substantial amount, you just don't withdraw the money. After all, you will be asked to verify, and this will not work. There is no passport, and if there is, the data of the owner of the payment means will not exactly match. So when you reach the allowed age, you need to correctly specify all the data, because they can and have the right to require scans of your passport and possibly a number of other documents. In this regard, some Western bookmakers are more adequate, since they ask you to verify your account completely at the first time you enter money, and not at the time of withdrawal, as many domestic offshore bookmakers practice.
Secondly, the registration data, passport, must completely match the information on the owner of a Bank card, account, or e-wallet. If this is not the case, you will simply not be approved for the withdrawal transaction.
Third, you do not need to fight with the support service, drill, and so on to request verification. This is useless, since they are in their own right. You accepted these conditions when registering, and that you do not read the rules, think that already baked loaves directly grow on the branches of bread trees – this is purely your problem. It's time to grow up.
Here it is, a simple set of rules not to fall under the block of your account at the bookmaker.